a 2025 systematic review of 31 studies (many not well powered) involving 160,000 adults suggests that walking 7000 steps a day has substantial health improvements:9)
47% reduction in all cause mortality
28% reduction in falls
25% reduction in cardiovascular disease (this reduction further improved with more steps walked)
22% reduction in depression
14% reduction in type II diabetes
may reduce dementia and cancer
even modest step counts (around 4,000 steps per day) are linked to better health compared to very low activity (around 2,000 steps per day)
other than for cardiovascular benefits, walking more than 7000 steps had less significant additional benefits for most conditions than just 7000 steps making this a more realistic goal than 10,000 steps
another 2025 study showed that walking fast for 15 minutes a day reduced mortality of those aged 40-79yrs by 20%10)
a prospective study of 2,431,318 person years published in 2026 suggests even light-mod exercise reduces mortality, optimally at 5 metabolic equivalent task hours per week, and walking is amongst the most beneficial (swimming is least beneficial), while higher levels of exercise may be associated with increased mortality compared to less than 5 MET hours exercise a week (especially swimming, jogging and cycling)
11)
Source: 2026: BMJ. Physical activity types, variety, and mortality: results from two prospective cohort studies
NB. MET is the metabolic rate for an activity / resting metabolic rate hence light walking is 2-2.5MET, brisk walking is 3.5-4.5MET, climbing stairs is 8-9MET, descending stairs is ~2.9MET, slow jogging 7-8MET, running at 11kph 11-12MET (faster can get to 20MET), cycling < 16kph 3-4MET 16-20kph 6-8MET, easy swimming laps 5-6MET, fast swimming laps 8-10MET;
not enough resistance exercise is bad for you
not enough aerobic exercise is bad for you
not enough weight bearing exercise is bad for you
too much exercise may be bad for you
for some activity types such as swimming, jogging and cycling, higher levels of exercise over 5 MET hours exercise a week may be associated with increased mortality compared to less than 5 MET hours exercise a week
12)
sudden cardiac arrest (presumably in those with unrecognised predispositions) may occur during or after a long run
male endurance athletes (cyclists/triathletes) aged over 50 may be at much greater risk of serious heart problems
13)
25% experienced ventricular tachycardia during or just after exercising - usually non-sustained VT which may serve as warning sign for longer, more dangerous events, although 2.8% had sustained VT - all sustained VT were during or within 1 hr of exercise
90% of sudden cardiac deaths during sport occur in older male athletes - 75% of these had heart scarring which may have been caused by heart attacks, disease, or exertion from lots of high intensity exercise over many years
rates of sudden cardiac arrest are 20x higher in professional female body builders compared with amateurs and they also had a rate of suicide or homicide 4x higher than in male bodybuilders
14)
a large UK study seems to show that women (with average age at recruitment of 55yrs) reporting strenuous physical activity daily had higher risks of coronary heart disease (P=0.002), cerebrovascular disease (P<0.001), and venous thromboembolic events (P<0.001) than those reporting doing such activity only 2 to 3 times per week
15)
while moderate exercise reduces AF risk, high volumes of endurance training over years may be associated with heart arrhythmias like atrial fibrillation
a 2025 study showed elite male rowers were seven times more likely to develop AF
16)
moderate to high intensity exercise increases circulating cortisol levels which may have adverse effects
17)
pre-season cumulative training loads alters cortisol levels, which may impair recovery, disrupt anabolic processes, and increase the risk of overtraining or injury - effective recovery strategies during pre-season are essential to mitigate elevated physiological stress responses and promote optimal training adaptation
high-stakes matches in female athletes reduce sleep quality and increase salivary cortisol by 354%
elevated post-exercise cortisol can suppress immune function, increase muscle protein breakdown, and disrupt sleep patterns, impairing performance and recovery
over-training syndrome causes chronic fatigue, immune system impairment, mood disturbances, and performance decline
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psychological strain and burnout with emotional exhaustion, reduced motivation, and mental health disorders are common in elite athletes
overuse injuries
some people should only do restricted guided exercise as more intense exercise may be lethal
survivors of aortic dissection
18) or cardiac infarcts
-
risk factors for AMI or sudden death (eg. previous exertional syncope or FH sudden exertional death) without appropriate risk stratification investigations
new DVT - theoretically could dislodge and form a massive PE
excessive or poorly managed training may induce neuromuscular fatigue and mild chronic inflammation and chronic inflammation is a risk for atherosclerosis
prolonged outdoor exposures to UV cause premature skin aging, solar dermatitis and skin cancer risk
fortunately, other than skin cancers, there does not appear to be increased risk of other cancers due to consistence high level exercise
many sports have characteristic long term musculoskeletal chronic effects such as:
hockey players: premature hip OA often requiring THR by age 50yrs
rugby, AFL: high prevalence of arthritis, dementia/Alzheimer’s disease, early onset osteoarthritis, and neurodegenerative conditions such as CTE due to repeated traumatic brain injuries
soccer: significant risk of traumatic knee and ankle injuries leading to early onset osteoarthritis and joint degeneration; heading the ball is now thought to cause repeated brain insults.
combat sports: shorter lifespan, likely from traumatic injuries.
volleyball and handball: shorter lifespan hypothesized due to severe musculoskeletal stress and physical trauma associated with the sport
long distance cycling: osteoporosis risk especially in women with amenorrhoea; tight hips and hamstrings; chronic pain commonly occurs in the neck, knees, and back due to repetitive strain and posture during cycling; high risk of road trauma; patellofemoral pain syndrome; numbness of hands or overuse tendonitis caused by weight-bearing on the handlebars; iliotibial band syndrome; rotator cuff tendonitis impacting shoulders; cervical disc prolapse risk, solar dermatitis and thickening on neck in particular;
mountain biking: high incidence of fractures, head injuries
swimming: chronic shoulder problems such as rotator cuff tendinopathy and impingement syndromes related to training volume and intensity;
some professional sports appear to be associated with lower life longevity19)
studies are surprisingly difficult to have confidence with results, often due to small numbers, many may actually have short elite sports careers, and several mechanisms within and between sports may have powerful effects on the overall lifespan longevities of players (e.g., type of sport, playing position, race, and energy system)
most contact sports such as martial arts, wrestling, boxing although AFL football seemed to not have this negative effect
a 2020 meta-analysis failed to show any survival benefit for male power athletes but did show benefits for other male athletes in terms of cardiovascular deaths
20)
some sports that require sudden movements which risk severe skeleto-muscular stress such as volleyball although strangely tennis did not - so perhaps there are other factors
ultra-distance running - presumably due to accelerated oxygen radical generation and oxidative stress
high risk sports such as mountaineering