some superspreading events associated with air travel, international gatherings and multiple-partner sexual encounters contributed to early spread
spread has been far more widespread as this strain is often causing minimal lesions (often only one oral or rectal papule) and minimal or no fever/headache or even asymptomatic cases allowing infections to go unnoticed for longer
The number of cases reported in the first week of this outbreak has surpassed the total number of cases in Western and Central Africa in the last 40 years.
unlike previous outbreaks, in this outbreak, most cases have occurred through human-to-human transmission and in people with high-risk behaviors and MSM
the outbreak is milder, with hardly any fatalities, most likely because of the West African clade, and the rash has a different pattern due to the outbreak mainly being sexually transmitted resulting in 75% having genital lesions.
There had been almost 1,500 suspected cases of monkeypox in the 1st few months of 2022 in Central Africa and 70 deaths
in May 2022, there was a small outbreak of the less fatal strain (usually having 1% mortality) in western Europe amongst men - Portugal, UK
by end of June 2022, there were more than 3,200 confirmed monkeypox cases and one reported death, affecting 48 countries, and there were 5 unrelated cases in Victoria.
by end of July 2022, WHO declared it a global emergency as cases reach over 16,000 cases in 75 countries and 5 deaths since June (deaths have only been in Africa where a more severe strain is endemic - mainly Nigeria and Congo)
thus far, 99 per cent of all the monkeypox cases beyond Africa have been men, and of those, 98 per cent have involved men who have sex with men, and most are aged 18-44yrs
by early August, 25,000 cases reported globally
by 20th Aug 2022, 40 cases have been confirmed in Victoria - half acquired locally and are mainly in Melbourne.
by mid Oct 2022, the CDC documented 72,547 cases in 109 locations and a total of 26 deaths have been reported from 12 locations.
April 2024-May 2024: 16 new cases in Victoria, 13 of which were locally acquired
July 2024: outbreak of a novel, sexually transmitted strain of the virus in the southeast of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is spreading - originally identified in Sept 2023, and although a minority of mpox strains in DRC, unlike mpox elsewhere in DRC, it circulates only in humans, meaning case numbers could explode and become global threat
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Mar 2024: paper on risks of pandemic threat
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