actuary
Table of Contents
actuarial science - predicting life expectancy
see also:
- Ubble's 2015 risk calculator for death within next 5 years - uses just 11-13 questions
definitions
- life expectancy (ex) = avg. number years of life remaining for a person at age x
- life expectancy at birth (e0) = avg. number years of life from birth
life tables
- life tables show life expectancy for each age and are usually given for each of the following factors:
- year
- country
- ethnicity
- gender
- +/- smoking status
online calculators of mortality
UbbLE
- 2015 calculator using questionnaire data from UK Biobank surveying only those aged 40-70yr olds
- they found 11 - 13 gender based questions which were most accurate in predicting mortality including:
- age
- gender
- smoking status
- walking pace
- self-assessment of health status
- known diseases such as heart, diabetes, cancer
- disability status
- who you live with
- number of cars at household
flowing data
- just uses your gender and age and US Social Security data to give a histogram on likely years left, thus a 54yr old male has ~10% chance he will die in next 9 yrs, and > 10% chance he will live past 94 yrs old!
actuary.txt · Last modified: 2015/09/27 13:03 (external edit)
